The head of the Czech Security and Information Service (BIS), Major General Michal Kudelka, believes that pushing Ukraine towards negotiations under the terms of a "bad peace" would provide an incentive for the Kremlin to recover and resume hostilities, this time against the countries of Central and Eastern Europe. He shared this in an interview with Bloomberg.
The chief of Czech intelligence states that the strategy of compelling Kyiv to make significant concessions will motivate the Kremlin for further armed aggression in the future.
"It is possible that Russia will spend the next 10-15 years recovering from enormous human and economic losses and preparing for its next target, which is Central and Eastern Europe," Kudelka said.
The BIS chief candidly mentions that if Ukraine loses or agrees to a "bad peace," Russia will "perceive this as a victory." Kudelka adds that the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 should remind Western countries that Russia is an "imperial superpower with imperial ambitions" and "absolutely disregards" its military losses and civilian casualties.
Therefore, the Czech intelligence officer is convinced that Western countries should avoid security threats and economic activities if business or diplomatic relations with Russia are restored.
"Russia is an aggressor that understands only strength, and thus the outcome of the war [against Ukraine] will determine the likelihood of a future global conflict involving NATO. However, if Russia encounters a strong country or a strong alliance, it will conclude that it is better not to engage with them. Because if not, Moscow will come to the conclusion that the war against Ukraine has borne fruit and demonstrated that European countries are weak, the Alliance lacks unity, and therefore it may attempt to act," the head of Czech intelligence asserts.
Recall that on November 20, Reuters reported that Putin is ready for negotiations with Trump regarding Ukraine. According to journalists, the Kremlin may allegedly agree to freeze hostilities along the front line. Negotiations may involve the division of occupied parts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions, but not Crimea.
On November 25, RBC-Ukraine, citing sources, wrote that "Zelensky's victory plan" does not include the return of borders from 1991. According to the journalists' sources, Republicans do not accept arguments about the return of Donbas, the territory of which was lost 10 years ago, as other people now live there.